Tanker Markets — VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, and the Floating-Storage Trade
Crude oil and product tanker vessel classes; the tanker contango trade that emerges in oil-market contango regimes
On the morning of April 20, 2020, the front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures contract closed at minus thirty-seven dollars and sixty-three cents per barrel — the first negative settle in the eighty-year history of regulated US oil futures. Holders of the May contract, facing imminent physical delivery in Cushing, Oklahoma at storage tanks that had no remaining capacity, were paying buyers to take the barrels off their hands. The episode was a logistics failure dressed up as a price collapse: the world had produced more oil than it could store on land, and pipeline-end storage at Cushing had run out of room.
Within a few weeks of the negative-price episode, the time-charter equivalent rates for the world's largest crude oil tankers — the Very Large Crude Carriers, or VLCCs — had spiked from roughly thirty thousand dollars per day pre-crisis to over two hundred thousand dollars per day, with intraday spot prints reaching approximately two hundred fifty thousand dollars per day at peak in late April 2020.
That is the opening. Finishing a lesson is where it stops being interesting and starts being useful: the full lesson runs to 7 sections and ends with 6 practice questions. A free account is what opens the rest, and the other 255 lessons in the Academy with it. No card.
What this lesson covers
- 1Why tanker rates are not just a function of oil demand
- 2Reading the oil curve to predict tanker rates
- 3Crude tanker class spectrum and route specialization
- 4The floating-storage break-even formula
- 5April-May 2020 — the negative oil price episode and the supertanker rate spike
- 6Where to see this on the platform
- 7Summary