Twelve picks a year. We show the misses.

One thesis per pick. Entry, now, and the verdict when we close it. Closed positions stay on the page — including the ones that didn’t work — because that’s the only honest way to publish picks.

Performance · Active-picks compositeFull record →

Strategy Return (TWR) · active picks

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Alpha vs S&P 500

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outperformance vs benchmark

Win Rate

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Sharpe

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CAGR

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Max Drawdown

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Avg Hold

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Every pick is hash-sealed at publication with SHA-256 chaining, so the record is tamper-evident — an edit to any published entry price, target, or thesis breaks its seal. View full track record and verification chain

Methodology Full track record RSS

Verified track record. Entries and exits are time-stamped and locked against backdating per the anti-backdated entry verifier. Returns are gross of fees and taxes unless explicitly noted. Individual account results will vary based on entry timing, position sizing, and account-specific factors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
As of 2026-07-18.
Track record reflects published picks only.

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